A below average election
Mon Jun 23, 2008 at 02:35:05 PM PDT
Some people are already talking landslide. In historical terms, we are actually heading in 2008 for another election with a below average electoral vote total for the winner.
Today's Forecast: Holes in the 50s and 60s
Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 07:39:39 AM PDT
I'm seeing another interesting and easy to grasp pattern in Nate's projected election simulation data at 538.
Will Hillary have any argument left by Denver?
Wed Jun 04, 2008 at 09:03:55 AM PDT
Suppose for the moment that Hillary really does want to continue to fight for the Democratic nomination in Denver. Will it even be possible for her to put forward a strong argument that she should be the nominee?
Are Virginia and North Carolina in play?
Mon May 12, 2008 at 06:19:10 AM PDT
The latest Rasmussen polling numbers indicate that both Virginia and North Carolina will be closely contested in November, and that Obama and McCain have very different profiles of support in those states.
Which is larger, 2 or 4?
Tue Apr 01, 2008 at 11:27:44 AM PDT
Misrepresenting the Purpose of Superdelegates
Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 01:13:06 PM PDT
I've just caught up with the op-ed by Democratic strategist Tad Devine published in last Sunday's New York Times. In that op-ed, Devine either makes some of the stupidest commentary on the intended purpose of superdelegates, or he is intentionally misrepresenting that purpose.
Proof of Post-partisanship
Thu Jan 31, 2008 at 12:49:04 PM PDT
This will be quite short and to the point, but a pair of events occurred today that provides some fairly objective proof of Obama's claim to be post-partisan and outside of established political classifications.
Accept Petraeus' Framing
Mon Sep 10, 2007 at 02:07:28 PM PDT
In today's testimony, Gen. Petraeus framed the status of U.S. military involvement in Iraq as follows: We are doing well enough militarily that we can begin now to draw down 30,000 troops by July of 2008.
We should accept that framing.
Holding the 57 Accountable
Sun Aug 05, 2007 at 06:50:40 AM PDT
This is short and to the point:
The 57 Democrats who capitulated to White House demands for broad FISA changes have only one reasonable excuse for their actions. That excuse carries along with it a built-in accountability moment, and the 57 should be held accountable when that moment comes due.
SurveyUSA Polling: Electability?
Thu May 03, 2007 at 10:00:21 AM PDT
SurveyUSA has just published the results of 2008 Giuliani vs. .... polls in ten states. What do these results tell us about the relative electability of Clinton, Obama, and Edwards?
Enough of this Democrat nonsense
Tue Jan 23, 2007 at 07:28:39 PM PDT
Time after time after time GOPers refer to the Democratic Party as the Democrat Party. It is not an accident, and I've had enough.
Not a "truly nutball idea"
Wed Dec 20, 2006 at 04:07:26 PM PDT
In deriding the Brookings Institution's hosting of an Iraq policy briefing that will include Frederick Kagan presenting the American Enterprise Institute's call for escalating troop levels in Iraq, the usually level-headed Josh Marshall of Talking Points Memo labels this plan as the one truly nutball idea about what to do in Iraq. Unfortunately, such rhetoric is not nearly good enough, because the AEI plan is not a nutball idea -- truly.